Nifty shrugs off weak global cues to end flat
Small caps continue to remain vulnerable
Welcome to Aftermarket Report, a newsletter where we do a quick daily wrap-up of what happened in the markets, both in India and globally.
In our latest episode of In The Money by Zerodha, from Friedrich Hayek's 1945 insight that prices aggregate dispersed knowledge, to Kenneth Arrow's state-contingent securities, and Eugene Fama's Efficient Market Hypothesis — the intellectual foundations of prediction markets run surprisingly deep.
We trace how these ideas were brought to life, from a bar conversation in Iowa City that became the Iowa Electronic Markets to the billion-dollar platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, navigating regulatory battles with the CFTC in the US today.
This episode also examines what all of this means for India — a country where prediction markets don't yet exist, but where Indian events are already being actively traded on platforms thousands of miles away, and where global funds may be using these prices as live intelligence on our own political and economic outcomes.
Markets Today
Nifty opened with a gap down of 161 points at 23,482, tracking weak global cues as rising bond yields continued to spook markets, while persistent geopolitical tensions kept crude oil prices elevated. The index saw sharp selling in the opening minutes, slipping toward the 23,320–23,350 zone within the first hour.
However, the early weakness was gradually bought into, with Nifty recovering steadily through the late morning session. The index reclaimed the 23,450 mark by around 11 AM and extended gains toward the 23,550 zone by 11:30 AM.
After a small dip, momentum strengthened further as buying interest remained firm. Nifty climbed steadily toward the 23,600 mark after 12:30 PM and stayed largely range-bound near the day’s highs through most of the afternoon, with only minor pullbacks in between.
A brief spike in the final hour pushed the index toward the 23,680-690 zone before it eventually closed the day flat at 23,649.95.
The session was marked by a weak and volatile start, followed by a strong intraday recovery, with sustained second-half buying helping the index erase opening losses and ending in positive territory.
Sectoral Indices Performance
Winners & Losers
Commodities
FII / DII Flows
Here’s the trend of FII-DII activity from the last 5 days:
Thematic Indices
Tijori’s niche indices, where today’s move sorts pockets of the market beyond standard sector baskets. You can also track the Promoter buying and other interesting stuff, like Capex activity by the companies in the Tijori App’s idea dashboard
Change in OI for the day
The following is the change in OI for Nifty contracts expiring on 19th May:
The maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is observed at 24,000, followed by 23,800, indicating potential resistance at the 23,800 -23,900 levels.
The maximum Put Open Interest (OI) is observed at 23,400, followed by 23,500, suggesting support at 23,500-23,400.
Note: OI is subject to multiple interpretations; however, generally, an increase in Call OI indicates resistance in a falling market, while an increase in Put OI indicates support in a rising market.
Source: Sensibull
Top Stories in India
The Indian rupee fell to another record low of 96.39/$, extending its losing streak to seven sessions as rising global bond yields and elevated oil prices intensified pressure on Asia’s worst-performing major currency this year. The rupee ended the day at 96.35/$, down 0.4% from Friday’s close. Dive deeper
The government has directed state-run banks and insurance firms to cut costs and transition to electric vehicles (EVs), aiming to reduce fuel expenses, improve sustainability, and accelerate EV adoption across public sector institutions. Dive deeper
Zydus Wellness reported Q4 net profit down 5.8% YoY to ₹162 crore, while revenue grew 63%, and announced a dividend, indicating strong top-line growth but some pressure on margins. Dive deeper
Hindustan Zinc shares have fallen 7% over two sessions, mainly due to concerns over declining silver and zinc prices, profit-booking after recent gains, and a weak global demand outlook, which have weighed on investor sentiment. Dive deeper
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance shares fell nearly 9% before recovering after Prudential plc announced plans to reduce its stake below 10%, raising concerns about promoter exit and near-term supply overhang impacting the stock. Dive deeper
TVS Venu Group will acquire a 9.9% stake in Jana Small Finance Bank, marking a strategic investment aimed at strengthening its presence in financial services and supporting the bank’s growth plans. Dive deeper
Muthoot Fincorp is planning a ₹4,000 crore IPO, aiming to raise capital for business expansion and strengthen its balance sheet, as strong demand in the gold loan segment continues to support growth prospects. Dive deeper
Air-conditioner and refrigerator manufacturers have warned that new government restrictions on compressor imports could lead to shortages later this year, as domestic manufacturing capacity may not be enough to meet rising demand. The curbs link FY27 compressor imports to a percentage of FY25 import volumes. Dive deeper
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals announced the launch of a generic version of vancomycin hydrochloride injection in the US market. The company said the product addresses a market with annual sales of about $37.9 million, based on IQVIA data. Dive deeper
Top Stories Globally
Brent crude futures eased toward $107/bbl after briefly surging above $111 on reports that the US may offer Iran a temporary waiver on oil sanctions while negotiations continue. However, uncertainty in the Middle East remains high, with the Strait of Hormuz still largely shut and the US continuing its blockade of Iranian ports. Dive deeper
China’s retail sales growth slowed sharply to just 0.2% YoY in April 2026, the weakest since December 2022, as the fallout from the Iran conflict weighed on consumer demand. Big-ticket spending remained particularly weak, with sharp declines in automobile, home appliance, building material, and furniture sales. Dive deeper
Germany’s 10-year bond yield is hovering at a 15-year high, reflecting a broader global bond sell-off driven by persistent inflation concerns and expectations of higher interest rates for longer, which is pushing borrowing costs up across major economies. Dive deeper
Gold traded below $4,550/oz after a sharp 4% decline last week, as rising inflation concerns and expectations of tighter central bank policy reduced demand for the precious metal. Stronger US Treasury yields and a firmer dollar also pressured gold after hotter-than-expected US inflation data dampened hopes of Fed rate cuts. Dive deeper
NextEra Energy will acquire Dominion Energy in an all-stock deal valued at about $66.8 billion, creating the world’s largest regulated electric utility by market value. The merger comes as US utilities expand capacity to meet soaring electricity demand from AI-driven data centers. Dive deeper
Management Chatter
In this section, we highlight interesting comments from the management of major companies and policymakers in the Indian and Global Economies.
Corporate Actions & Events
Corporate Actions
Earnings Calendar
Published by Zerodha. Not investment advice. Data from NSE, BSE, MCX.
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