Dull close near 23,600 for Nifty despite strong broader market rally
IT stocks rebound sharply
Welcome to Aftermarket Report, a newsletter where we do a quick daily wrap-up of what happened in the markets, both in India and globally.
In our latest episode of In The Money by Zerodha, from Friedrich Hayek’s 1945 insight that prices aggregate dispersed knowledge, to Kenneth Arrow’s state-contingent securities, and Eugene Fama’s Efficient Market Hypothesis — the intellectual foundations of prediction markets run surprisingly deep.
We trace how these ideas were brought to life, from a bar conversation in Iowa City that became the Iowa Electronic Markets to the billion-dollar platforms Kalshi and Polymarket, navigating regulatory battles with the CFTC in the US today.
This episode also examines what all of this means for India — a country where prediction markets don’t yet exist, but where Indian events are already being actively traded on platforms thousands of miles away, and where global funds may be using these prices as live intelligence on our own political and economic outcomes.
Markets Today
Nifty opened with a small gap up of 25 points at 23,675, tracking mixed global cues. The index remained volatile in the opening hour, oscillating between the 23,680–23,760 zone with intermittent buying and selling pressure.
After the initial swings, Nifty largely traded sideways through the late morning session, hovering around the 23,700–23,750 range till noon, with no clear directional momentum.
In the second half, weakness gradually crept in as the index started making lower highs. Selling pressure intensified sharply after 2:30 PM, dragging Nifty below the 23,650 mark and pushing it steadily toward the 23,590–23,600 zone in the final hour.
A minor recovery attempt emerged near the close, but it failed to reverse the damage. Nifty eventually closed at 23,618, near the day’s lows.
The session was marked by range-bound trade in the first half, followed by late selling pressure, resulting in a weak, largely flat close despite a stable start.
Sectoral Indices Performance
Winners & Losers
Commodities
FII / DII Flows
Here’s the trend of FII-DII activity from the last 5 days:
Thematic Indices
Tijori’s niche indices, where today’s move sorts pockets of the market beyond standard sector baskets. You can also track the Promoter buying and other interesting stuff, like Capex activity by the companies in the Tijori App’s idea dashboard
Change in OI for the day
The following is the change in OI for Nifty contracts expiring on 26th May:
The maximum Call Open Interest (OI) is observed at 24,000, followed by 23,700, indicating potential resistance at the 23,800 -23,900 levels.
The maximum Put Open Interest (OI) is observed at 23,500, followed by 24,000, suggesting support at 23,500-23,400.
Note: OI is subject to multiple interpretations; however, generally, an increase in Call OI indicates resistance in a falling market, while an increase in Put OI indicates support in a rising market.
Source: Sensibull
Top Stories in India
The Indian rupee slid to a fresh record low of 96.61/$, extending its losing streak to six straight sessions as elevated crude oil prices and persistent dollar demand continued to pressure the currency. USD/INR eventually settled at 96.53 for the day. Dive deeper
Adani Group stocks were in focus after the United States Department of Justice dropped all criminal charges against Gautam Adani and Sagar Adani, ending a long-running securities and wire fraud case in New York. The development removes a major overhang that had affected the group’s fundraising and expansion plans. Dive deeper
Indian Oil Corporation reported a strong Q4 with net profit jumping 56% YoY to ₹11,377 crore, driven by robust refining margins and improved operational performance. Dive deeper
Bharat Electronics Limited reported a 5% YoY rise in Q4FY26 net profit to ₹2,203 crore, while revenue from operations increased 12% to ₹10,177 crore, supported by continued strength in defence orders and execution. Dive deeper
PepsiCo plans to invest ₹5,700 crore in India by 2030 to expand manufacturing capacity, signalling a strong long-term demand outlook and deeper commitment to the Indian market. Dive deeper
Bharat Forge will set up India’s first private-sector Marine Gas Turbine repair, overhaul, and indigenous development complex in Visakhapatnam through its aerospace business. The facility, being developed in partnership with the Andhra Pradesh government, will support naval propulsion systems and strengthen India’s domestic defence capabilities. Dive deeper
BASF India reported a strong Q4FY26 performance with net profit surging 155% YoY to ₹69 crore. Revenue rose 9.1% to ₹3,444 crore, while EBITDA more than doubled and margins improved to 3.2%. The company also announced a dividend of ₹25 per share for FY26. Dive deeper
Vodafone Idea shares rose over 4.5% after the company said it is in advanced discussions with a State Bank of India-led consortium for a planned ₹35,000 crore debt funding package. Dive deeper
Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) has received shareholder approval for a 1:1 bonus issue, aimed at improving liquidity and broadening retail participation in the stock. Dive deeper
Top Stories Globally
Brent crude futures eased to around $110/bbl after Donald Trump said he had called off a planned military strike on Iran following requests from Gulf allies, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE. The comments raised hopes that negotiations could resume, although Iran has not confirmed the development. Dive deeper
Tehran Stock Exchange reopened after an 80-day wartime shutdown, with the benchmark TEDPIX index rising modestly on the first trading day. However, market breadth remained weak, with nearly 72% of listed stocks declining or staying flat, reflecting lingering concerns over war-related damage and economic disruption. Dive deeper
South Korea’s stock market rally is fueling a surge in luxury spending, with rising retail investor wealth driving demand for high-end brands like Rolex and Bentley, highlighting strong wealth effects and speculative momentum in the market. Dive deeper
Australian equities rebounded sharply, with the S&P/ASX 200 rising 1.2% after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s meeting minutes signalled a cautious “wait-and-watch” stance following three rate hikes this year. The recovery came after the index had fallen to a near seven-week low in the previous session. Dive deeper
A US jury ruled against Elon Musk in his lawsuit against OpenAI, finding the AI firm not liable over claims that it had deviated from its original mission. The jury said Musk had filed the case too late. Dive deeper
Japan’s economy grew 0.5% QoQ in Q1 2026, beating expectations and marking its strongest expansion since Q3 2024. Growth was supported by improving private consumption and steady wage gains, along with a rebound in public investment driven by infrastructure spending. Dive deeper
Management Chatter
In this section, we highlight interesting comments from the management of major companies and policymakers in the Indian and Global Economies.
Anuj Jain, Director of Finance, Indian Oil Corp, on availability of Crude and refining margins:
“We don’t have any shortage of either crude oil or LPG. For crude oil, the number of days of inventory is still being maintained for over a month. LPG inventory has come down, but still it is being managed so that we have enough LPG availability on a pan-India basis.”
“As far as the supply of crude oil and other petroleum products is concerned, we have consistently seen that, particularly in crude oil, there are diversified sources available, and all our refineries are operating at full capacity since the conflict started. So we are making crude oil available.”
“The world definitely will be facing some cycles of high refining margins going forward, because whatever has happened, whether in Russia-Ukraine, or in US-Iran, it has disrupted the refining and upstream assets, also. So, in all, refining margins are expected to remain high in the next one or two years because of these uncertainties.” - Link
Keki Mistry, Chairman of HDFC Bank, on Adani Group’s Borrowing Profile after US case closure:
“SEC was playing on certain minds, but now that it is put to rest, borrowing costs will improve, and more banks will lend to the group.”
The group's planned investment of nearly Rs 6 lakh crore across aviation, digital infrastructure, and renewable energy sectors. He said renewable energy, in particular, could emerge as a “saviour” in the current environment if scaled up rapidly. - Link
Corporate Actions & Events
Corporate Actions
Earnings Calendar
Published by Zerodha. Not investment advice. Data from NSE, BSE, MCX.
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